Skip to content
Map of Warren County, VA eviction risk by city, county average 4.9 out of 10
County brief·Updated July 26, 2026

Warren County, Virginia Eviction Risk: Low

8 incorporated cities and unincorporated areas. The county Eviction Risk Score is held aloft by the city of Front Royal (3.7) and a small number of dense urban cores. Rent-control coverage varies by city.

In 2026
Risk score
3.5
LOW

Ranked #52 of 132 VA counties

22k residents · 8 cities · 9 tracts

1976–2026 · pop-weighted from cities

Warren County eviction risk score history

Min1.6 Average2.3 Now3.5
10 5 1976 · score 1.7 1977 · score 1.6 1978 · score 1.6 1979 · score 1.6 1980 · score 1.7 1981 · score 1.7 1982 · score 1.8 1983 · score 1.7 1984 · score 1.7 1985 · score 1.7 1986 · score 1.7 1987 · score 1.6 1988 · score 1.6 1989 · score 1.6 1990 · score 1.7 1991 · score 1.8 1992 · score 1.8 1993 · score 1.7 1994 · score 1.7 1995 · score 1.7 1996 · score 1.7 1997 · score 1.7 1998 · score 1.7 1999 · score 1.7 2000 · score 1.9 2001 · score 1.9 2002 · score 2.0 2003 · score 2.0 2004 · score 2.0 2005 · score 2.0 2006 · score 2.0 2007 · score 2.0 2008 · score 2.6 2009 · score 2.8 2010 · score 2.8 2011 · score 2.8 2012 · score 2.7 2013 · score 2.7 2014 · score 2.7 2015 · score 2.7 2016 · score 2.7 2017 · score 2.7 2018 · score 2.7 2019 · score 2.8 2020 · score 4.5 2021 · score 4.7 2022 · score 3.8 2023 · score 3.5 2024 · score 3.5 2025 · score 3.5 2026 · score 3.5

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Warren County's average eviction-risk score of 4.9/10 spans a range of 4.3 to 5/10 across its 8 cities, with Front Royal anchoring the high end at 5/10. Ranked 53rd of 132 Virginia counties, Warren County sits in the middle third of the state by eviction risk.

How Warren County ranks in Virginia

Lower number means more extreme, where #1 is the most
Eviction Risk Score
Elevated
#52 of 132 VA counties 3.5 / 10
Eviction Risk Score, 61st percentileLowHigh
#52 of 132 counties in Virginia for landlord eviction risk.
Cost of living
Elevated
#16 of 51 states (statewide) 101.1 index
Cost of living, 70th percentileLowHigh
Virginia ranks #16 of 51 states on overall cost of living (1.1% more expensive than the U.S. avg).
Housing services cost
Elevated
#17 of 51 states (statewide) 106.8 index
Housing services cost, 68th percentileLowHigh
Virginia ranks #17 of 51 states on housing services (6.8% more expensive than the U.S. avg).
Income spent on rent
Low
#81 of 132 VA counties 28.6% of income
Income spent on rent, 39th percentileLowHigh
#81 of 132 counties in Virginia on % of income spent on rent.

Landlord guides for Virginia

State-specific playbooks
Virginia Eviction Costs →
Filing fees, attorney fees, lost rent, sheriff lockout
Virginia Eviction Process →
Step-by-step timeline, notices, statute cites
Virginia Rent Control →
Statewide caps, local ordinances, just-cause
Virginia Tenant Screening →
Five-point protocol, legal rules, protected classes
Virginia Tenant Protections →
Just cause, retaliation, habitability, entry
Cities in Warren County
Sorted by Eviction Risk Score · highest first
Map view
CityPopulationRisk% income on rentAverage rentLean
001 Front Royal Pop 15,296 · 27.6% income · $1,135 rent · Rep 15,296 3.5 27.6% $1,135 Rep
002 Shenandoah Farms Pop 4,179 · 28.7% income · $1,765 rent · Rep 4,179 3.6 28.7% $1,765 Rep
003 Apple Mountain Lake Pop 1,671 · 17.8% income · $1,669 rent · Rep 1,671 2.9 17.8% $1,669 Rep
004 Skyland Estates Pop 620 · 50.4% income · $1,728 rent · Rep 620 3.2 50.4% $1,728 Rep
005 Shenandoah Shores Pop 611 · 21.6% income · $1,520 rent · Rep 611 3.7 21.6% $1,520 Rep
006 Locust Grove Pop 67 · 27.5% income · $1,116 rent · Rep 67 3.0 27.5% $1,116 Rep
007 Clary 27.5% income · $1,116 rent · Rep 3.4 27.5% $1,116 Rep
008 Fishers Hill 27.5% income · $1,116 rent · Rep 3.2 27.5% $1,116 Rep

County heatmap

Geographic distribution
Local landlord context

One county, multiple regulatory regimes.

Warren County, Virginia eviction laws carries a county-wide average eviction-risk score of 3.5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier and squarely in the middle third of Virginia's 132 counties and independent cities. With 52 jurisdictions scoring higher and 79 scoring lower, landlords here face conditions that are neither unusually hostile nor particularly easy. Average rent runs $1,319 per month, rent burden averages 27.5% of income across renters, and roughly 33.8% of residents rent rather than own, giving the county a meaningful but not oversized rental market to work with.

Within those county-level averages, though, the 8 distinct localities that make up Warren County span a meaningful range, from a low of 4.3/10 to a high of 5/10. That spread matters practically: a portfolio concentrated in the county's higher-risk pockets operates in measurably different conditions than one positioned in its lower-risk communities. Investors who treat Warren County as a single undifferentiated market are missing important variation in actual operating risk.

The cities inside Warren County

The two highest-risk localities are Front Royal (5/10) and Shenandoah Shores (5/10). Front Royal is by far the most populous place in the county at 15,296 residents, so it dominates the rental inventory and drives much of the county average upward. Shenandoah Shores, with a population of 611, is much smaller but sits at the same risk level. Locust Grove (4.7/10) and Shenandoah Farms (4.6/10, population 4,179) fall into a middle band, offering a modestly more favorable risk profile while still remaining in Moderate territory.

The lowest-risk localities are Skyland Estates at 4.3/10 and a cluster of communities, including Apple Mountain Lake, Fishers Hill, and Clary, each scoring 4.4/10. These scores reflect meaningfully lower eviction-risk indicators compared to Front Royal, and investors willing to look beyond the county seat will find that risk is genuinely hyper-local across Warren County's footprint.

State-level laws that apply here

Every landlord operating in Warren County is governed by the Virginia eviction laws Residential Landlord and Tenant Act (Va. Code § 55.1-1200 et seq.). On notice requirements, Virginia eviction laws law requires a 5-day notice for nonpayment of rent (Va. Code § 55.1-1245), a 21-day notice for a material lease violation (Va. Code § 55.1-1245(A)), and a 30-day notice for a material non-curable breach or to end a month-to-month tenancy. Landlords must give 24 hours notice before entry. Virginia eviction laws has no just-cause eviction requirement and no rent-control law; state law preempts any local attempt to impose rent caps, so Warren County landlords are not exposed to local rent-control risk. The Virginia eviction laws eviction process, from notice through uncontested judgment, typically runs 21 to 45 days and can extend to 45 to 120 days in contested cases. Full Virginia eviction costs, combining court filing fees of $58 to $90, sheriff lockout fees of $40 to $150, and attorney fees that commonly range from $500 to $3,000, mean a single eviction action can realistically cost several hundred to well over three thousand dollars depending on complexity. Landlords reviewing Virginia eviction costs and Virginia security deposit limits should consult the statewide guides for the complete statutory framework.

With a poverty rate of 14.7% and roughly one in three households renting, Warren County's risk profile is real but manageable, and the city grid above shows exactly which localities within the county carry the most and least exposure.

Eviction filings in Virginia

Eviction Lab Tracking System · statewide · live through 2026-05-01

The Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System covers Virginia statewide (no county-level tracker available for Warren County). In the past month, 10,534 statewide filings were recorded, 1.07× the historical baseline (near baseline).

Virginia statewide, last 36 months 2023-05-01 – 2026-04-01
Virginia statewide eviction filings (Eviction Lab)2023-05-01: 11,279 filings (0.99× hist)2023-06-01: 11,871 filings (1.01× hist)2023-07-01: 11,681 filings (1.01× hist)2023-08-01: 11,916 filings (1.00× hist)2023-09-01: 11,466 filings (1.00× hist)2023-10-01: 12,415 filings (1.00× hist)2023-11-01: 10,388 filings (0.96× hist)2023-12-01: 11,234 filings (1.04× hist)2024-01-01: 12,658 filings (1.00× hist)2024-02-01: 12,400 filings (1.08× hist)2024-03-01: 10,487 filings (0.95× hist)2024-04-01: 10,082 filings (1.02× hist)2024-05-01: 11,419 filings (1.01× hist)2024-06-01: 11,744 filings (1.00× hist)2024-07-01: 11,546 filings (0.99× hist)2024-08-01: 11,845 filings (1.00× hist)2024-09-01: 11,560 filings (1.00× hist)2024-10-01: 12,537 filings (1.01× hist)2024-11-01: 11,255 filings (1.04× hist)2024-12-01: 10,429 filings (0.96× hist)2025-01-01: 14,590 filings (1.15× hist)2025-02-01: 10,161 filings (0.91× hist)2025-03-01: 11,563 filings (1.04× hist)2025-04-01: 10,358 filings (1.05× hist)2025-05-01: 11,904 filings (1.05× hist)2025-06-01: 10,882 filings (0.92× hist)2025-07-01: 13,152 filings (1.13× hist)2025-08-01: 11,685 filings (0.98× hist)2025-09-01: 11,970 filings (1.04× hist)2025-10-01: 12,965 filings (1.04× hist)2025-11-01: 10,193 filings (0.94× hist)2025-12-01: 10,630 filings (0.98× hist)2026-01-01: 12,943 filings (1.02× hist)2026-02-01: 11,303 filings (1.01× hist)2026-03-01: 11,712 filings (1.06× hist)2026-04-01: 10,534 filings (1.07× hist)
Notice requirement: at least five days notice (in some cases more). Filing fee: minimum filing fee of $36.
1

Eviction filings in Warren County

In September 2025, 24 eviction filings were recorded in Warren County, 95.1% of the historical average (near average).2

Last 24 months of filings 2023-10 – 2025-09
Monthly eviction filings in Warren County (LSC CCDI)2023-10: 11 filings (41.1% of avg)2023-11: 23 filings (110.8% of avg)2023-12: 12 filings (41.0% of avg)2024-01: 26 filings (88.1% of avg)2024-02: 19 filings (68.5% of avg)2024-03: 21 filings (94.4% of avg)2024-04: 16 filings (52.9% of avg)2024-05: 22 filings (72.1% of avg)2024-06: 21 filings (68.9% of avg)2024-07: 30 filings (114.3% of avg)2024-08: 20 filings (74.1% of avg)2024-09: 13 filings (51.5% of avg)2024-10: 14 filings (52.3% of avg)2024-11: 25 filings (120.5% of avg)2024-12: 17 filings (58.1% of avg)2025-01: 20 filings (67.8% of avg)2025-02: 10 filings (36.0% of avg)2025-03: 18 filings (80.9% of avg)2025-04: 20 filings (66.1% of avg)2025-05: 20 filings (65.6% of avg)2025-06: 11 filings (36.1% of avg)2025-07: 25 filings (95.2% of avg)2025-08: 19 filings (70.4% of avg)2025-09: 24 filings (95.1% of avg)

Historical eviction filings in Warren County

From 2010 to 2016, eviction filings in Warren County declined 23%. The peak was 425 filings in 2010.3

Annual filings 2010–2016 No filing data published after 2018
Annual eviction filings in Warren County 2000-2018 (Eviction Lab)2010: 425 filings2011: 388 filings2012: 353 filings2013: 379 filings2014: 333 filings2015: 371 filings2016: 327 filings

Data covers 2000–2018, the full span of the Princeton Eviction Lab's national county court-records dataset.

How Warren County compares

Warren County's county-wide average of 4.9/10 places it at rank 53 of 132 Virginia eviction laws counties, in the middle third of the state by eviction risk; 52 counties are riskier and 79 are less risky. Among peer counties with similar scores, Warren County ties Bristol city at 4.9/10 and scores slightly above Campbell County (4.85/10), Isle of Wight County (4.82/10), Augusta County (4.8/10), and Rockingham County (4.72/10), indicating a broadly average risk profile within Virginia.

Peer counties in Virginia

Same state, closest by population and Eviction Risk Score
Peer county
Isle of Wight County eviction risk
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 23.8K
Peer county
Culpeper County eviction risk
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 22.0K
Peer county
Manassas Park city eviction risk
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 20.9K
Peer county
Campbell County eviction risk
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 18.8K

Where eviction risk concentrates in Warren County

Top cities + top neighborhoods · click any card for the full breakdown

Top cities by population

Frequently asked

Frequently asked questions about Warren County

Q1

How does Warren County compare to Virginia statewide?

Warren County averages 3.5/10. Use the Virginia overview link in the breadcrumb above for statewide comparison.
Q2

Is 27.5% rent-to-income ratio high for Warren County?

27.5% is below the 30% federal threshold.
Q3

Where can I see all cities in Warren County?

The city grid above lists every municipality in Warren County with its risk score and population.