Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Kings Court Eviction Risk: Moderate , Yorktown
Tract 51199050500 · York County, VA · pop 4,623 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 51199050500 covers part of the Kings Court area of Yorktown, VA, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,623 residents. Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,483
Renter share29.1%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate19.9%
Median income$107,716
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Yorktown and the region
Centroid at 37.2203, -76.5183 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kings Court scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Yorktown
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
19.9% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$936 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Yorktown
2.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Yorktown
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Yorktown
2.7
How Kings Court compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.5%Housing insecurity
- 10.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.1%Food insecurity
- 17.5%SNAP enrollment
- 11.1%Transit barriers
- 11.3%No health insurance
- 19.2%Frequent mental distress
- 33.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kings Court
Against York County at 42.6%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.5/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.
It sits 1.3 points above the York County average of 3.8. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.3/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $107,716, annual rent is just 10%. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $936, close to the Yorktown average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51199050500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51199050500?
Census tract 51199050500 in the Kings Court neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51199050500?
Median gross rent is $936/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51199050500?
19.9% of residents in tract 51199050500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,623.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51199050500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 83th, minority 68th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 51199050500 considered part of Kings Court?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51199050500 fall within Kings Court (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51199050500 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51199050500 compare to Yorktown overall?
Tract 51199050500 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Yorktown at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Yorktown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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