2 census tracts · pop 10,038 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.7/10
· range 6–7.7
South Aberdeen is a 2-tract suburb of Aberdeen, WA, population 10,038. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.7/10, in the Elevated tier. 44% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Aberdeen rate of 31.8%.
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 6 to 7.7, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.
Running hot is housing-court posture at 7.4/10. Court records carry 278 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Severe burden reaches 11%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 3.8% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 3.6% in 2015 against a 3.8% peak. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Average gross rent runs $1,097, close to the Aberdeen average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $56,224.
39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 6.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
South Aberdeen vs AberdeenHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.6%+37%
Aberdeen: 31.8%
Average gross rent
$1,097+5%
Aberdeen: $1,049
Average HH income
$56,224+8%
Aberdeen: $52,181
Poverty rate
15.9%-28%
Aberdeen: 22.2%
Renter share
38.9%-11%
Aberdeen: 43.5%
Geographic context
Risk heat across South Aberdeen and the region
Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6–7.7
Why South Aberdeen scores 6.7
9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
39% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Economic stress
15.9% below poverty line · Range 2.5–6.4 across tracts
4.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–5.2 across tracts
4.4
Risk score comparison
South Aberdeen vs. parent city, state, U.S.
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
Census tracts
2 tracts in South Aberdeen
Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority48%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport72%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in South Aberdeen
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
278Total filings (sum)
2.69%Avg annual filing rate
3.8%Peak year (2006)
3.30%Latest filed (2015)
Frequently asked
About South Aberdeen
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for South Aberdeen?
South Aberdeen scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does South Aberdeen compare to Aberdeen overall?
South Aberdeen scores 0.4 points higher than Aberdeen overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,097 vs $1,049.
Q3
What is the average rent in South Aberdeen?
Average gross rent in South Aberdeen is $1,097/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of South Aberdeen residents are renters?
39% of South Aberdeen households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Aberdeen). The neighborhood has 10,038 residents.
Q5
Is South Aberdeen a high social-vulnerability area?
South Aberdeen sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in South Aberdeen have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in South Aberdeen is census tract 53027001000 (score 7.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6 to 7.7, a spread of 1.7 points.
Q7
How safe is South Aberdeen for landlords?
South Aberdeen carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Aberdeen as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of South Aberdeen?
South Aberdeen has 9,892 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (65.5%), Hispanic / Latino (19.8%), Other / Multiracial (8.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
