Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,927 of 84,120 nationally
Brighton Beach Eviction Risk: Elevated , Mercer Island
Tract 53033011102 · King County, WA · pop 5,468 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 53033011102 covers part of the Brighton Beach area of Seattle, WA, and scores 7.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,468 residents. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9.5/10.
Risk score
7.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,959
Renter share47.3%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$112,125
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mercer Island and the region
Centroid at 47.5425, -122.2604 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brighton Beach scores 7.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mercer Island
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,703 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mercer Island
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mercer Island
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mercer Island
8.5
How Brighton Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 41%Grade B
- 55%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 266Total filings over 10 yrs
- 4.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.3%Peak (2006)
- 16Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 58% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brighton Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brighton Beach
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.
Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Cost burden runs 51% here against 44.1% across King County. At $1,703 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Seattle commands.
The filing record is not thin: 266 evictions over 10 years of observation. Against the King County average of 6.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.
Filings peaked in 2006 at 9.3% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Seattle. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 4.3% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 53033011102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033011102?
Census tract 53033011102 in the Brighton Beach neighborhood scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53033011102?
Median gross rent is $1,703/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53033011102?
5.9% of residents in tract 53033011102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,468.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53033011102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 48th, minority 70th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 53033011102 considered part of Brighton Beach?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033011102 fall within Brighton Beach (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53033011102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 266 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 53033011102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.31% of renter households, peaking at 9.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53033011102 compare to Mercer Island overall?
Tract 53033011102 scores 7.6/10, higher than the parent city of Mercer Island at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mercer Island eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 53033011102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mercer Island
Top eight tracts in Mercer Island ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WA
NewHolly
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Licton Springs
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Rainier Vista
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
NewHolly
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Kenwood
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Pinehurst
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Little Saigon
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
South Park
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
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