Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally
Arroyo Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Seattle
Tract 53033012100 ·
King County, WA · pop 2,842 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 6.9/10, tract 53033012100 in the Arroyo Heights area of Seattle, WA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9.5/10.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%Stable renters 4%Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,211
Renter share9.2%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$187,131
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Arroyo Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
13th percentile
#154 of 177 tracts In Seattle
Very Low
Within county
50th percentile
#249 of 494 tracts In King County
Moderate
Within state
70th percentile
#526 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Seattle and the region
Centroid at 47.5076, -122.3874 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arroyo Heights scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seattle
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,273 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seattle
8.5
How Arroyo Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
1%Socioeconomic
71%Household composition
36%Racial/ethnic minority
21%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
4%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
14Total filings over 7 yrs
1.46%Avg annual filing rate
3.0%Peak (2004)
2Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Filings by year2004 to 2013
Filings dropped 100% over the past 10 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arroyo Heights
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10. Against King County at 44.1%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.
The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Disability prevalence runs 19.4% against 31.5% nationally. Court records carry 14 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
Adults with no health insurance runs 3.8% against 11.3% nationally. At $2,273 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Seattle commands.
The worst year on record was 2004, when 3.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Seattle. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 84th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 2.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 53033012100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033012100?
Census tract 53033012100 in the Arroyo Heights neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53033012100?
Median gross rent is $2,273/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53033012100?
3.4% of residents in tract 53033012100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,842.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53033012100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 71th, minority 36th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 53033012100 considered part of Arroyo Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033012100 fall within Arroyo Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53033012100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 53033012100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.46% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53033012100 compare to Seattle overall?
Tract 53033012100 scores 6.9/10, lower than the parent city of Seattle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seattle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 53033012100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Seattle
Top eight tracts in Seattle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.