Neighborhood · Ranked #15,434 of 84,120 nationally

Arroyo Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Seattle

Tract 53033012100 · King County, WA · pop 2,842 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 53033012100 sits in the Arroyo Heights neighborhood of Seattle, Washington. It has a population of 2,842 and an eviction-risk score of 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). 56% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 19% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,273/month against a median household income of $187,131 — roughly 15% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 4% Owners 91%

Tract context

Occupied units1,211

Renter share9.2%

SVI overall0.13

Poverty rate3.4%

Median income$187,131

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Seattle and the region

Centroid at 47.5076, -122.3874 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arroyo Heights scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Seattle

9.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.6

State political climate

Washington legislature & governorship

6.0

Economic stress

3.4% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,273 rent vs county FMR

3.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Seattle

9.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Seattle

9.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Seattle

8.5

How Arroyo Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

1%Socioeconomic
71%Household composition
36%Racial/ethnic minority
21%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B — Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
4%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

14Total filings over 7 yrs
1.46%Avg annual filing rate
3.0%Peak (2004)
2Filings in 2011 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2004 — 2013

Filings dropped 100% over the past 10 months.

Frequently asked

About tract 53033012100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033012100?

Census tract 53033012100 in the Arroyo Heights neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 53033012100?

Median gross rent is $2,273/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 53033012100?

3.4% of residents in tract 53033012100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,842.

How socially vulnerable is tract 53033012100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 71th, minority 36th, housing 21th.

Is tract 53033012100 considered part of Arroyo Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033012100 fall within Arroyo Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53033012100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 53033012100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.46% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

How does tract 53033012100 compare to Seattle overall?

Tract 53033012100 scores 6.2/10 — lower than the parent city of Seattle at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seattle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 53033012100 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seattle

Top eight tracts in Seattle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.