Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally
NewHolly Eviction Risk: High , Seattle
Tract 53033011001 · King County, WA · pop 5,177 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 9.3/10, tract 53033011001 in the NewHolly area of Seattle, WA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,177. Average gross rent is $1,094, 46% below the Seattle average.
Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,927
Renter share55.2%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate27.2%
Median income$51,546
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
87
th percentile
High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Seattle and the region
Centroid at 47.5384, -122.2862 · click any tract to drill in
Why NewHolly scores 9.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Seattle
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
27.2% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$1,094 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seattle
8.5
How NewHolly compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 147Total filings over 10 yrs
- 2.72%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.6%Peak (2007)
- 10Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within NewHolly. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in NewHolly
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9.5/10. Against the King County average of 6.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.6 points. Cost burden runs 59% here against 44.1% across King County.
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The filing record is not thin: 147 evictions over 10 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2007, when 5.6% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 53033011001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033011001?
Census tract 53033011001 in the NewHolly neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53033011001?
Median gross rent is $1,094/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53033011001?
27.2% of residents in tract 53033011001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,177.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53033011001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 76th, minority 88th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 53033011001 considered part of NewHolly?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033011001 fall within NewHolly (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53033011001?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 147 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 53033011001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.72% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53033011001 compare to Seattle overall?
Tract 53033011001 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Seattle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seattle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 53033011001 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Seattle
Top eight tracts in Seattle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WA
Foy
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
West Campus
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Foy
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Greek Row
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
University Park
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Greek Row
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
South Lake Union
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Rainier Beach
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
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