Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally
The Vineyards Eviction Risk: Elevated , Mill Creek
Tract 53061041704 · Snohomish County, WA · pop 5,778 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 7.7/10, tract 53061041704 in the The Vineyards area of Mill Creek, WA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units2,639
Renter share64.7%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$91,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mill Creek and the region
Centroid at 47.8674, -122.2252 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Vineyards scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mill Creek
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$2,230 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mill Creek
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mill Creek
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mill Creek
5.5
How The Vineyards compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 183Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.4%Peak (2008)
- 37Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Vineyards
Against the Snohomish County average of 5.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10.
Against Snohomish County at 47.3%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 183 filings here across 5 tracked years. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.9/10.
Filings peaked in 2008 at 5.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.3/10.
Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Average gross rent is $2,230, close to the Mill Creek average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 53061041704
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53061041704?
Census tract 53061041704 in the The Vineyards neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53061041704?
Median gross rent is $2,230/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53061041704?
19.2% of residents in tract 53061041704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,778.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53061041704?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 44th, minority 62th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 53061041704 considered part of The Vineyards?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53061041704 fall within The Vineyards (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53061041704?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 183 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 53061041704 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.14% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53061041704 compare to Mill Creek overall?
Tract 53061041704 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Mill Creek at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mill Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mill Creek
Top eight tracts in Mill Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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