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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Downer Avenue Eviction Risk: Moderate , Milwaukee

Tract 55079007700 · Milwaukee County, WI · pop 3,915 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 5.6/10, tract 55079007700 in the Downer Avenue area of Milwaukee, WI reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,915. This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 44% Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units2,297
Renter share85.5%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate21.4%
Median income$44,390

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#3 of 8 tracts In Downer Avenue
Elevated
Within parent city
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#97 of 210 tracts In Milwaukee
Moderate
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#98 of 301 tracts In Milwaukee County
Elevated
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#139 of 1,528 tracts In Wisconsin
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Milwaukee and the region

Centroid at 43.0649, -87.8886 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downer Avenue scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Milwaukee
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.0
State political climate
Wisconsin legislature & governorship
2.9
Economic stress
21.4% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,105 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Milwaukee
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Milwaukee
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Milwaukee
5.5

How Downer Avenue compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downer Avenue risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 007700Milwaukee: 4.44.4Milwaukeeparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 343Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 1.49%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.9%Peak (2003)
  • 26Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 550790077002003: 37 filings (1.91/100 renter HHs)2004: 30 filings (1.55/100 renter HHs)2007: 24 filings (1.40/100 renter HHs)2008: 25 filings (1.46/100 renter HHs)2009: 17 filings (0.99/100 renter HHs)2010: 30 filings (1.56/100 renter HHs)2011: 26 filings (1.52/100 renter HHs)2012: 29 filings (1.69/100 renter HHs)2013: 21 filings (1.22/100 renter HHs)2014: 27 filings (1.57/100 renter HHs)2015: 26 filings (1.52/100 renter HHs)2016: 25 filings (1.45/100 renter HHs)2017: 26 filings (1.51/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 30% over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 110Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.71×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (0.42× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 7 filings (2.06× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.63× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 2 filings (1.25× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (0.63× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 4 filings (2.50× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.38× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (0.42× baseline)2022-03-01: 3 filings (1.88× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (0.59× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (0.71× baseline)2022-08-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 4 filings (2.50× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-12-01: 3 filings (1.15× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (0.63× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (0.94× baseline)2023-05-01: 3 filings (1.67× baseline)2023-06-01: 3 filings (0.88× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (1.43× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (1.25× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (0.77× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (0.42× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (0.63× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (0.56× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (0.88× baseline)2024-07-01: 2 filings (1.43× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (1.25× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2025-02-01: 3 filings (1.25× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 3 filings (1.67× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (0.71× baseline)2025-08-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (1.25× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-12-01: 4 filings (1.54× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Milwaukee, WI as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downer Avenue. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downer Avenue

The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Milwaukee County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 343 evictions over 13 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2003 at 1.9% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Milwaukee Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the WI average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 55079007700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 55079007700?

Census tract 55079007700 in the Downer Avenue neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 55079007700?

Median gross rent is $1,105/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 55079007700?

21.4% of residents in tract 55079007700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,915.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 55079007700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 1th, minority 42th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 55079007700 considered part of Downer Avenue?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 55079007700 fall within Downer Avenue (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 55079007700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 343 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 55079007700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.49% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 55079007700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Milwaukee eviction risk, WI), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 55079007700 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 55079007700 compare to Milwaukee overall?

Tract 55079007700 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Milwaukee at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milwaukee eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 55079007700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Milwaukee

Top eight tracts in Milwaukee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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