Downer Avenue Eviction Risk: Moderate , Milwaukee

The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Milwaukee County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 343 evictions over 13 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2003 at 1.9% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Milwaukee Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the WI average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.