Valley Grande Eviction Risk: Lower

The poverty rate is 34%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 8.4/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10.

Average gross rent is $972, 28% above the Valley Grande average. Against the Dallas County average of 5.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.6 points. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.8/10.

The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 26.5% against 15.2% nationally. The voucher gap is 18.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 22 filings here across 9 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The worst year on record was 2009, when 2.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.