Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally
Forestdale Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 01073012402 · Jefferson County, AL · pop 2,624 · 55% of tract blocks fall in Forestdale
Forestdale is where census tract 01073012402 sits, home to 2,624 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.7/10. That is riskier than about 91% of US census tracts.
About 68% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 47% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,197 monthly, set against $37,390 in average yearly household income, roughly 38% of income at the averages. Renters make up 43% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,199
Renter share43.0%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate38.3%
Median income$37,390
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
National
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forestdale and the region
Centroid at 33.5609, -86.9134 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forestdale scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forestdale
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
38.3% poverty · this tract
9.6
Supply constraint
$1,197 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forestdale
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forestdale
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forestdale
7.6
How Forestdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 11%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 314Total filings over 11 yrs
- 8.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.3%Peak (2013)
- 41Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 356% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.5%Housing insecurity
- 21.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.0%Food insecurity
- 32.8%SNAP enrollment
- 17.7%Transit barriers
- 11.7%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 44.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forestdale
What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Forestdale, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.3 and above the Alabama statewide average of 4.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 314 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 8.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.3% of renter households in 2013.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 01073012402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01073012402?
Census tract 01073012402 in Forestdale scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 01073012402?
Median gross rent is $1,197/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 01073012402?
38.3% of residents in tract 01073012402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,624.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 01073012402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 70th, minority 76th, housing 49th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01073012402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 314 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 01073012402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.67% of renter households, peaking at 15.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 01073012402 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 01073012402 compare to Forestdale overall?
Tract 01073012402 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Forestdale at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forestdale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 01073012402 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Forestdale
Top eight tracts in Forestdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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