Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Forestdale Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 01073012401 · Jefferson County, AL · pop 3,595 · 86% of tract blocks fall in Forestdale
The Elevated-tier score of $1/10 for census tract 01073012401 reflects conditions in Forestdale, Alabama. It lands near the 76th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 52% of renter households, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,064 a month against an average household income of $71,213 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 35% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,361
Renter share35.0%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate19.1%
Median income$71,213
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
National
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forestdale and the region
Centroid at 33.5646, -86.8852 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forestdale scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forestdale
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
19.1% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,064 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forestdale
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forestdale
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forestdale
7.6
How Forestdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 5%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 418Total filings over 11 yrs
- 10.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.7%Peak (2013)
- 53Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 165% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.3%Housing insecurity
- 13.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.4%Food insecurity
- 17.3%SNAP enrollment
- 11.5%Transit barriers
- 8.1%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 35.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forestdale
The score leans hardest on housing court bias at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Forestdale, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.3 and above the Alabama statewide average of 4.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 5% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 01073012401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01073012401?
Census tract 01073012401 in Forestdale scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 01073012401?
Median gross rent is $1,064/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 01073012401?
19.1% of residents in tract 01073012401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,595.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 01073012401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 62th, minority 96th, housing 13th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01073012401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 418 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 01073012401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.44% of renter households, peaking at 14.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 01073012401 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 01073012401 compare to Forestdale overall?
Tract 01073012401 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Forestdale at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forestdale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 01073012401 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 5% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Forestdale
Top eight tracts in Forestdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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