Grove Hill Eviction Risk: Lower

Against a Auburn baseline of 38.9%, 55% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. At $1,559 a month, rents sit 42% over what the rest of Auburn commands. The voucher gap is 33.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is supply constraint at 7.9/10.

On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. SNAP participation is 7.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Among the 6 mapped neighborhoods of Auburn, it ranks #5 by risk, the lower third. At 20% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Bent Brooke and Granite Hills score within a fraction of it.

Against average income of $105,739, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.

With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.