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Census Tract · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally

Chelsea Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 01117030215 · Shelby County, AL · pop 5,443 · 25% of tract blocks fall in Chelsea

With a score of 3.3/10, tract 01117030215 in Chelsea, AL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,443. Cost burden runs 18% here against 40.0% across Shelby County.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 15% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,053
Renter share18.9%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$85,697

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Chelsea
Elevated
Within county
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 55 tracts In Shelby County
Moderate
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#862 of 1,436 tracts In Alabama
Moderate
National
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#61,558 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chelsea and the region

Centroid at 33.3776, -86.5820 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chelsea scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chelsea
3.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,433 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chelsea
2.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chelsea
2.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chelsea
2.2

How Chelsea compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chelsea risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.3This tracttract 0302153.2Chelseaparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 27Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 4.13%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.2%Peak (2016)
  • 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 01117030215
Filings climbed 250% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chelsea

The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.3/10.

Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.8/10. Court records carry 27 eviction filings across 6 observed years.

SNAP participation runs 7.9% against 15.2% nationally. The voucher gap is 13.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 3.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #61,558 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 01117030215

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01117030215?

Census tract 01117030215 in Chelsea scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 01117030215?

Median gross rent is $1,433/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 01117030215?

5.1% of residents in tract 01117030215 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,443.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 01117030215?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 68th, minority 28th, housing 10th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01117030215?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 27 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 01117030215 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.13% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 01117030215 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 01117030215 compare to Chelsea overall?

Tract 01117030215 scores 3.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Chelsea at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chelsea eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chelsea

Top eight tracts in Chelsea ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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