Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Chelsea Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 01117030349 · Shelby County, AL · pop 1,063 · 47% of tract blocks fall in Chelsea
Census tract 01117030349 covers part of Chelsea, AL, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. 76% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Shelby County average of 40.0%.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units606
Renter share10.9%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate28.0%
Median income$64,444
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chelsea and the region
Centroid at 33.3567, -86.6756 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chelsea scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chelsea
3.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
28.0% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chelsea
2.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chelsea
2.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chelsea
2.2
How Chelsea compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 18%Racial/ethnic minority
- 0%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.1%Food insecurity
- 10.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 7.4%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 35.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chelsea
The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.8/10.
The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 2.2/10. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Against the Shelby County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 01117030349
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01117030349?
Census tract 01117030349 in Chelsea scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 01117030349?
28.0% of residents in tract 01117030349 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,063.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 01117030349?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 54th, minority 18th, housing 0th.
Q4
What share of households in tract 01117030349 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5
How does tract 01117030349 compare to Chelsea overall?
Tract 01117030349 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Chelsea at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chelsea eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chelsea
Top eight tracts in Chelsea ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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