Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Cherry Dale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tuscaloosa

Tract 01125012406 · Tuscaloosa County, AL · pop 2,443 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

01125012406 is a census tract in the Cherry Dale area of Tuscaloosa, AL. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,443 residents. The severe-burden share is 62%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 7% Owners 55%

Tract context

Occupied units1,110

Renter share45.6%

SVI overall0.79

Poverty rate18.5%

Median income$37,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tuscaloosa and the region

Centroid at 33.1799, -87.5347 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cherry Dale scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tuscaloosa

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.3

State political climate

Alabama legislature & governorship

1.8

Economic stress

18.5% poverty · this tract

4.6

Supply constraint

$1,155 rent vs county FMR

5.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tuscaloosa

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tuscaloosa

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tuscaloosa

2.5

How Cherry Dale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

95%Socioeconomic
81%Household composition
89%Racial/ethnic minority
21%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.7%Housing insecurity
18.0%Utility-shutoff threat
31.7%Food insecurity
25.9%SNAP enrollment
16.1%Transit barriers
11.3%No health insurance
19.8%Frequent mental distress
38.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cherry Dale

84% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Tuscaloosa County average of 43.3%. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $37,250, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.8/10.

SNAP participation runs 25.9% against 15.2% nationally. On the softer side, housing-court posture reads 2.5/10.

The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

It sits 0.7 points above the Tuscaloosa County average of 4.1. Average gross rent is $1,155, 9% above the Tuscaloosa average.

On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.1/10.

Statewide the AL average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 01125012406

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01125012406?

Census tract 01125012406 in the Cherry Dale neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 01125012406?

Median gross rent is $1,155/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 84% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 01125012406?

18.5% of residents in tract 01125012406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,443.

How socially vulnerable is tract 01125012406?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 81th, minority 89th, housing 21th.

Is tract 01125012406 considered part of Cherry Dale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01125012406 fall within Cherry Dale (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 01125012406 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 01125012406 compare to Tuscaloosa overall?

Tract 01125012406 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Tuscaloosa at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tuscaloosa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tuscaloosa

Top eight tracts in Tuscaloosa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.