Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tuscaloosa

Tract 01125012001 · Tuscaloosa County, AL · pop 985 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

How risky is Lake Forest in Tuscaloosa for landlords? Census tract 01125012001 scores 5.3/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 51% of US census tracts.

50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $821 a month against an average household income of $33,319 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 79% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 40% Owners 21%

Tract context

Occupied units827

Renter share79.2%

SVI overall0.53

Poverty rate36.5%

Median income$33,319

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tuscaloosa and the region

Centroid at 33.1941, -87.5308 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Forest scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tuscaloosa

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.3

State political climate

Alabama legislature & governorship

1.8

Economic stress

36.5% poverty · this tract

9.1

Supply constraint

$821 rent vs county FMR

2.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tuscaloosa

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tuscaloosa

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tuscaloosa

2.5

How Lake Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

93%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
20%Racial/ethnic minority
55%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.8%Housing insecurity
11.2%Utility-shutoff threat
24.8%Food insecurity
17.5%SNAP enrollment
14.8%Transit barriers
11.2%No health insurance
23.2%Frequent mental distress
37.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Forest

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tuscaloosa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Tuscaloosa County average of 4.7 and above the Alabama statewide average of 4.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 01125012001

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01125012001?

Census tract 01125012001 in the Lake Forest neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 01125012001?

Median gross rent is $821/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 01125012001?

36.5% of residents in tract 01125012001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 985.

How socially vulnerable is tract 01125012001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 3th, minority 20th, housing 55th.

Is tract 01125012001 considered part of Lake Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01125012001 fall within Lake Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 01125012001 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 01125012001 compare to Tuscaloosa overall?

Tract 01125012001 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tuscaloosa at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tuscaloosa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tuscaloosa

Top eight tracts in Tuscaloosa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.