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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tuscaloosa

Tract 01125012001 · Tuscaloosa County, AL · pop 985 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

Tract 01125012001 sits in the Lake Forest area of Tuscaloosa eviction risk, AL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 40% Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units827
Renter share79.2%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate36.5%
Median income$33,319

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lake Forest
Moderate
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 40 tracts In Tuscaloosa
Elevated
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 59 tracts In Tuscaloosa County
Elevated
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#164 of 1,436 tracts In Alabama
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tuscaloosa and the region

Centroid at 33.1941, -87.5308 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Forest scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tuscaloosa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
36.5% poverty · this tract
9.1
Supply constraint
$821 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tuscaloosa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tuscaloosa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tuscaloosa
2.5

How Lake Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0120013.8Tuscaloosaparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Forest

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.1/10. The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. 79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.8/10. Average gross rent is $821, 22% below the Tuscaloosa average.

Cost burden runs 50% here against 43.3% across Tuscaloosa County. It sits 1.1 points above the Tuscaloosa County average of 4.1.

Food insecurity runs 24.8% against 17.8% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 5.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the AL average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $33,319.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 01125012001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01125012001?

Census tract 01125012001 in the Lake Forest neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 01125012001?

Median gross rent is $821/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 01125012001?

36.5% of residents in tract 01125012001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 985.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 01125012001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 3th, minority 20th, housing 55th.
Q5

Is tract 01125012001 considered part of Lake Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01125012001 fall within Lake Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 01125012001 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 01125012001 compare to Tuscaloosa overall?

Tract 01125012001 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tuscaloosa at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tuscaloosa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tuscaloosa

Top eight tracts in Tuscaloosa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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