East End Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tuscaloosa

Cost burden runs 70% here against 43.3% across Tuscaloosa County. Annualized rent equals 72% of average household income of $17,466, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 61%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 83% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.8/10.

Disability prevalence runs 44.1% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 1.1 points above the Tuscaloosa County average of 4.1. The filing record is not thin: 39 evictions over 5 years of observation.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2001, when 1.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 0.7% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.