Fairbanks Eviction Risk: Moderate

Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. At $2,189 a month, rents run 46% over what the rest of Fairbanks commands. This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $70,227, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The voucher gap is 31.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.3/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.1/10. SNAP participation runs 7.7% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.6 points above the Fairbanks North Star Borough average of 3.8.

That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.8/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.