Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Picture Rocks Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04019004423 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,166 · 86% of tract blocks fall in Picture Rocks
Tract 04019004423 sits in Picture Rocks, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. Population here is 4,166. Cost burden runs 16% here against 43.8% across Pima County.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,710
Renter share16.0%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate20.4%
Median income$61,950
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
National
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Picture Rocks and the region
Centroid at 32.3354, -111.1800 · click any tract to drill in
Why Picture Rocks scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Picture Rocks
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
20.4% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,389 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Picture Rocks
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Picture Rocks
2.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Picture Rocks
5.9
How Picture Rocks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 132Total filings over 12 yrs
- 13.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 49.8%Peak (2005)
- 11Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.0%Housing insecurity
- 8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.6%Food insecurity
- 13.5%SNAP enrollment
- 9.1%Transit barriers
- 10.6%No health insurance
- 18.0%Frequent mental distress
- 39.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Picture Rocks
Average gross rent is $1,389, 45% above the Picture Rocks average. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.4/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 132 evictions over 12 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2005 at 49.8% of renter households.
In a typical year about 13.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 6.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004423
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004423?
Census tract 04019004423 in Picture Rocks scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004423?
Median gross rent is $1,389/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004423?
20.4% of residents in tract 04019004423 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,166.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004423?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 69th, minority 49th, housing 27th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004423?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 132 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004423 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.78% of renter households, peaking at 49.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019004423 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019004423 compare to Picture Rocks overall?
Tract 04019004423 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Picture Rocks at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Picture Rocks; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Picture Rocks
Top eight tracts in Picture Rocks ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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