Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Barrio Viejo Eviction Risk: Elevated , South Tucson
Tract 04019002300 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,642 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 7.2/10, tract 04019002300 in the Barrio Viejo area of South Tucson, AZ reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,642. It sits 3.3 points above the Pima County average of 3.9.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,472
Renter share68.1%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate35.2%
Median income$33,734
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across South Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.1955, -110.9692 · click any tract to drill in
Why Barrio Viejo scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from South Tucson
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
35.2% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$968 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Tucson
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Tucson
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Tucson
8.8
How Barrio Viejo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 787Total filings over 12 yrs
- 5.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.0%Peak (2009)
- 77Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 67% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Barrio Viejo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.1%Housing insecurity
- 19.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 42.0%Food insecurity
- 36.4%SNAP enrollment
- 21.4%Transit barriers
- 31.6%No health insurance
- 20.4%Frequent mental distress
- 49.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Barrio Viejo
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. Food insecurity runs 42.0% against 17.8% nationally.
Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Disability prevalence runs 49.9% against 31.5% nationally.
On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.8/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $33,734, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.8/10.
This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Cost burden runs 50% here against 43.8% across Pima County. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 787 filings here across 12 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2009, when 8.0% of renter households were served.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019002300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019002300?
Census tract 04019002300 in the Barrio Viejo neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019002300?
Median gross rent is $968/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019002300?
35.2% of residents in tract 04019002300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,642.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019002300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 98th, minority 90th, housing 100th.
Q5
Is tract 04019002300 considered part of Barrio Viejo?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019002300 fall within Barrio Viejo (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019002300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 787 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019002300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.89% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019002300 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019002300 compare to South Tucson overall?
Tract 04019002300 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of South Tucson at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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