Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Barrio Viejo Eviction Risk: Moderate , South Tucson

Tract 04019005400 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,342 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 04019005400 sits in the Barrio Viejo area of Tucson eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. It is home to 3,342 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 39% Owners 36%

Tract context

Occupied units1,750

Renter share63.8%

SVI overall0.72

Poverty rate19.3%

Median income$64,808

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Tucson and the region

Centroid at 32.2117, -110.9729 · click any tract to drill in

Why Barrio Viejo scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from South Tucson

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

19.3% poverty · this tract

4.8

Supply constraint

$1,035 rent vs county FMR

2.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from South Tucson

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from South Tucson

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from South Tucson

4.5

How Barrio Viejo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

83%Socioeconomic
22%Household composition
73%Racial/ethnic minority
70%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Barrio Viejo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.1%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
16.2%Food insecurity
12.3%SNAP enrollment
9.6%Transit barriers
13.2%No health insurance
16.7%Frequent mental distress
31.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Barrio Viejo

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Cost burden runs 39% here against 43.8% across Pima County. Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.

Average gross rent is $1,035, 10% below the Tucson average. Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 7.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $64,808.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019005400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019005400?

Census tract 04019005400 in the Barrio Viejo neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04019005400?

Median gross rent is $1,035/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019005400?

19.3% of residents in tract 04019005400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,342.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019005400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 22th, minority 73th, housing 70th.

Is tract 04019005400 considered part of Barrio Viejo?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019005400 fall within Barrio Viejo (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04019005400 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04019005400 compare to South Tucson overall?

Tract 04019005400 scores 4.6/10, lower than the parent city of South Tucson at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in South Tucson

Top eight tracts in South Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.