Skip to content
Neighborhood · Prescott Valley, AZ

Castle Canyon Mesa Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 7,760 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10 · range 3.7–4.9

Castle Canyon Mesa takes in 3 census tracts of Prescott Valley, AZ and houses 7,760 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.9/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 55% against 30.1% citywide, putting Castle Canyon Mesa 24.7% over its own city.

Pulling the other way is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.7/10. Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 3.7 to 4.9. A 1.2-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. At $1,294 a month, rents sit 18% under what the rest of Prescott Valley commands. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.9/10.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 3/10. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $58,171. 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Castle Canyon Mesa vs Prescott Valley How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.8% +82%
Prescott Valley: 30.1%
Average gross rent
$1,294 -18%
Prescott Valley: $1,580
Average HH income
$58,171 -18%
Prescott Valley: $70,793
Poverty rate
11.8% -4%
Prescott Valley: 12.4%
Renter share
42.0% +51%
Prescott Valley: 27.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Castle Canyon Mesa and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.7–4.9

Why Castle Canyon Mesa scores 3.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
42% renter households · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
11.8% below poverty line · Range 2.1–6.1 across tracts
2.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.6–6.9 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Castle Canyon Mesa vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Castle Canyon Mesa score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Castle Canyon Mesa: 3.93.9Castle Canyon MesaNeighborhoodParent city: 3.83.8Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Castle Canyon Mesa?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 3.7 to 4.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Castle Canyon Mesa

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04025000611 4.9 1,430 66% $1,906
04025000615 3.7 4,732 50% $1,067
04025000612 3.7 1,598 59% $1,418
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 71

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 47%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 62%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Castle Canyon Mesa

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Castle Canyon Mesa

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Castle Canyon Mesa?

Castle Canyon Mesa scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Castle Canyon Mesa compare to Prescott Valley overall?

Castle Canyon Mesa scores 0.1 points higher than Prescott Valley overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,294 vs $1,580.
Q3

What is the average rent in Castle Canyon Mesa?

Average gross rent in Castle Canyon Mesa eviction risk is $1,294/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Castle Canyon Mesa residents are renters?

42% of Castle Canyon Mesa households are renter-occupied (vs 28% in Prescott Valley). The neighborhood has 7,760 residents.
Q5

Is Castle Canyon Mesa a high social-vulnerability area?

Castle Canyon Mesa sits in the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Castle Canyon Mesa have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Castle Canyon Mesa is census tract 04025000611 (score 4.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 4.9, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Castle Canyon Mesa for landlords?

Castle Canyon Mesa eviction risk carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Prescott Valley as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Castle Canyon Mesa?

Castle Canyon Mesa has 7,802 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62.7%), Hispanic / Latino (31.5%), Other / Multiracial (5.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Castle Canyon Mesa

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further