Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Castle Canyon Mesa Eviction Risk: Lower , Prescott Valley
Tract 04025000615 · Yavapai, AZ · pop 4,732 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 3.7/10, tract 04025000615 in the Castle Canyon Mesa area of Prescott Valley, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,732 residents. Average gross rent is $1,067, 32% below the Prescott Valley average.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,151
Renter share45.6%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate8.5%
Median income$54,807
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Prescott Valley and the region
Centroid at 34.5928, -112.3312 · click any tract to drill in
Why Castle Canyon Mesa scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Prescott Valley
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.5% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,067 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Prescott Valley
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Prescott Valley
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Prescott Valley
5.9
How Castle Canyon Mesa compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Castle Canyon Mesa. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.3%Food insecurity
- 11.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 13.8%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 35.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Castle Canyon Mesa
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.6/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. 50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Yavapai County average of 41.3%.
The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.1/10.
That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Yavapai County average of 3.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $54,807.
46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04025000615
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04025000615?
Census tract 04025000615 in the Castle Canyon Mesa neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04025000615?
Median gross rent is $1,067/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04025000615?
8.5% of residents in tract 04025000615 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,732.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04025000615?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 47th, minority 43th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 04025000615 considered part of Castle Canyon Mesa?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04025000615 fall within Castle Canyon Mesa (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04025000615 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04025000615 compare to Prescott Valley overall?
Tract 04025000615 scores 3.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Prescott Valley at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Prescott Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Prescott Valley
Top eight tracts in Prescott Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04025000609
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04025000614
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04025000617
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Castle Canyon Mesa
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Castle Canyon Mesa
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04025000604
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04025000618
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04025000613
3.2
/ 10 · Low
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