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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally

Pecan Grove Eviction Risk: Elevated , Yuma

Tract 04027000200 · Yuma, AZ · pop 2,939 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Eviction risk in the Pecan Grove neighborhood of Yuma centers on tract 04027000200, which scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,939 residents. That is riskier than about 36% of US census tracts.

58% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $851 a month against an average household income of $36,346 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 50% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 21% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,254
Renter share50.4%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate32.3%
Median income$36,346

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Pecan Grove
Very High
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 33 tracts In Yuma
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 67 tracts In Yuma
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Yuma and the region

Centroid at 32.7188, -114.6289 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pecan Grove scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Yuma
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
32.3% poverty · this tract
8.1
Supply constraint
$851 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Yuma
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Yuma
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Yuma
3.0

How Pecan Grove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pecan Grove risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 000200Yuma: 3.23.2Yumaparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pecan Grove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pecan Grove

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 8.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Yuma eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Yuma County average of 4.3 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 26.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04027000200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04027000200?

Census tract 04027000200 in the Pecan Grove neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04027000200?

Median gross rent is $851/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04027000200?

32.3% of residents in tract 04027000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,939.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04027000200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 85th, minority 86th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 04027000200 considered part of Pecan Grove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04027000200 fall within Pecan Grove (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04027000200 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04027000200 compare to Yuma overall?

Tract 04027000200 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Yuma at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Yuma eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Yuma

Top eight tracts in Yuma ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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