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Neighborhood · Yuma, AZ

Pecan Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 9,261 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 4.8–4.8

Pecan Grove spans 3 census tracts of Yuma, AZ, population 9,261. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.8/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Yuma baseline of 30.9%, about half of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 9.2/10. The poverty rate is 37%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

SNAP participation is 37.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

The severe-burden share is 25%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.1/10. At $794 a month, rents sit 29% under what the rest of Yuma commands.

18.8% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That places it #1 of 22 neighborhoods in Yuma.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Arc Center and Bardeaux Oakx. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $42,747.

With little internal variation, 4.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Pecan Grove vs Yuma How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
47.1% +52%
Yuma: 30.9%
Average gross rent
$794 -29%
Yuma: $1,114
Average HH income
$42,747 -32%
Yuma: $62,546
Poverty rate
36.9% +141%
Yuma: 15.3%
Renter share
53.2% +60%
Yuma: 33.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Pecan Grove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.8–4.8

Why Pecan Grove scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
53% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
36.9% below poverty line · Range 8.1–10.0 across tracts
9.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.2 across tracts
1.1
Risk score comparison

Pecan Grove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Pecan Grove score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Pecan Grove: 4.84.8Pecan GroveNeighborhoodParent city: 3.43.4Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Pecan Grove?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0 points from 4.8 to 4.8. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Pecan Grove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04027000302 4.8 3,236 38% $761
04027000301 4.8 3,086 46% $774
04027000200 4.8 2,939 58% $851
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 96

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 95%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 94%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 89%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 83%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Pecan Grove

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Pecan Grove

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Pecan Grove?

Pecan Grove scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Pecan Grove compare to Yuma overall?

Pecan Grove scores 1.4 points higher than Yuma overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $794 vs $1,114.
Q3

What is the average rent in Pecan Grove?

Average gross rent in Pecan Grove is $794/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Pecan Grove residents are renters?

53% of Pecan Grove households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Yuma). The neighborhood has 9,261 residents.
Q5

Is Pecan Grove a high social-vulnerability area?

Pecan Grove sits in the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Pecan Grove have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Pecan Grove is census tract 04027000302 (score 4.8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.8 to 4.8, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Pecan Grove for landlords?

Pecan Grove carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Yuma as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Pecan Grove?

Pecan Grove has 9,426 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (80.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (15.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (2.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Pecan Grove

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Yuma

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Pecan Grove.

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