Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Citrus Springs Eviction Risk: Lower , Donovan Estates
Tract 04027000402 · Yuma, AZ · pop 3,647 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 04027000402 sits in the Citrus Springs area of Donovan Estates, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 3,647. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.3/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,168
Renter share23.5%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$74,578
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Donovan Estates and the region
Centroid at 32.7148, -114.6797 · click any tract to drill in
Why Citrus Springs scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Donovan Estates
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$954 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Donovan Estates
1.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Donovan Estates
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Donovan Estates
1.7
How Citrus Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.8%Housing insecurity
- 10.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.1%Food insecurity
- 17.6%SNAP enrollment
- 12.4%Transit barriers
- 29.3%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 34.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Citrus Springs
Adults with no health insurance runs 29.3% against 11.3% nationally. Running cool, housing-court posture reads 1.7/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.9/10.
34% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Yuma County average of 40.1%. Food insecurity runs 28.1% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Yuma County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8/10.
Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $74,578, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $954, close to the Donovan Estates average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04027000402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04027000402?
Census tract 04027000402 in the Citrus Springs neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04027000402?
Median gross rent is $954/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04027000402?
8.2% of residents in tract 04027000402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,647.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04027000402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 89th, minority 91th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 04027000402 considered part of Citrus Springs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04027000402 fall within Citrus Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04027000402 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04027000402 compare to Donovan Estates overall?
Tract 04027000402 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Donovan Estates at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Donovan Estates; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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