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Neighborhood · Donovan Estates, AZ

Citrus Springs Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,647 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Citrus Springs is a one-tract neighborhood of Donovan Estates, AZ, population 3,647. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. 29.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.3/10. On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 1.7/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.9/10.

34% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. Food insecurity affects 28.1% of adults, 10.3 points above the national rate. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Against average income of $74,578, annual rent is only 15%, a wide affordability cushion. Average gross rent runs $954, close to the Donovan Estates average.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Citrus Springs vs Donovan Estates How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
33.6% +0%
Donovan Estates: 33.6%
Average gross rent
$954 +0%
Donovan Estates: $954
Average HH income
$74,578 +91%
Donovan Estates: $39,018
Poverty rate
8.2% +65%
Donovan Estates: 5.0%
Renter share
23.5% -32%
Donovan Estates: 34.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Citrus Springs and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Citrus Springs scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Rent control risk
34% of income on rent · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts
1.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
24% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Economic stress
8.2% below poverty line · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

Citrus Springs vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Citrus Springs score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Citrus Springs: 3.03.0Citrus SpringsNeighborhoodParent city: 3.53.5Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Citrus Springs

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04027000402 3 3,647 34% $954
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 78

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 77%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 89%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 91%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 39%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Citrus Springs

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Citrus Springs

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Citrus Springs?

Citrus Springs scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Citrus Springs compare to Donovan Estates overall?

Citrus Springs scores 0.5 points lower than Donovan Estates overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $954 vs $954.
Q3

What is the average rent in Citrus Springs?

Average gross rent in Citrus Springs is $954/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Citrus Springs residents are renters?

24% of Citrus Springs households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Donovan Estates). The neighborhood has 3,647 residents.
Q5

Is Citrus Springs a high social-vulnerability area?

Citrus Springs sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Citrus Springs for landlords?

Citrus Springs carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Donovan Estates as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Citrus Springs?

Citrus Springs has 3,744 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (88.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (7.6%), Other / Multiracial (3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Citrus Springs

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