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Neighborhood · Donovan Estates, AZ

Citrus Springs Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,647 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Citrus Springs is a one-tract neighborhood of Donovan Estates, AZ, population 3,647. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. 29.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.3/10. On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 1.7/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.9/10.

34% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. Food insecurity affects 28.1% of adults, 10.3 points above the national rate. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Against average income of $74,578, annual rent is only 15%, a wide affordability cushion. Average gross rent runs $954, close to the Donovan Estates average.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Citrus Springs vs Donovan Estates How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
33.6% +0%
Donovan Estates: 33.6%
Average gross rent
$954 +0%
Donovan Estates: $954
Average HH income
$74,578 +91%
Donovan Estates: $39,018
Poverty rate
8.2% +65%
Donovan Estates: 5.0%
Renter share
23.5% -32%
Donovan Estates: 34.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Citrus Springs and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Citrus Springs scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Rent control risk
34% of income on rent · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts
1.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
24% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Economic stress
8.2% below poverty line · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

Citrus Springs vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Citrus Springs score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Citrus SpringsNeighborhood3.5Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Citrus Springs

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
04027000402 3 3,647 34% $954
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 78

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 77%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 89%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 91%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 39%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Citrus Springs

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Citrus Springs

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Citrus Springs?

Citrus Springs scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Citrus Springs compare to Donovan Estates overall?

Citrus Springs scores 0.5 points lower than Donovan Estates overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $954 vs $954.
Q3

What is the average rent in Citrus Springs?

Average gross rent in Citrus Springs is $954/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Citrus Springs residents are renters?

24% of Citrus Springs households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Donovan Estates). The neighborhood has 3,647 residents.
Q5

Is Citrus Springs a high social-vulnerability area?

Citrus Springs sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Citrus Springs for landlords?

Citrus Springs carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Donovan Estates as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Citrus Springs?

Citrus Springs has 3,744 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (88.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (7.6%), Other / Multiracial (3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Citrus Springs

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