2 census tracts · pop 8,757 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10
· range 3–3
Van Buren Historic District takes in 2 census tracts of Van Buren, AR, population 8,757. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, Lower tier. Cost burden runs 60% against 26.9% citywide, putting Van Buren Historic District 33.2% over its own city.
24% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.6/10. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.8/10.
The filing record is not thin: 2 evictions logged in this tract. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.5/10.
The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 0.3% of renter households. Average gross rent is $770, 9% below the Van Buren average of $847.
Recent filings have not receded much: 0.3% in 2014 against a 0.3% peak. At 24% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Against average income of $66,181, annual rent is only 14%, a wide affordability cushion.
The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.
With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Van Buren Historic District vs Van BurenHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.1%+123%
Van Buren: 26.9%
Average gross rent
$770-9%
Van Buren: $847
Average HH income
$66,181+11%
Van Buren: $59,420
Poverty rate
10.2%-37%
Van Buren: 16.3%
Renter share
23.9%-30%
Van Buren: 34.4%
Geographic context
Risk heat across Van Buren Historic District and the region
Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3
Why Van Buren Historic District scores 3
9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
24% renter households · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Economic stress
10.2% below poverty line · Range 2.5–2.6 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–4.6 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison
Van Buren Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
Census tracts
2 tracts in Van Buren Historic District
Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority37%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport47%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Van Buren Historic District
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
2Total filings (sum)
0.31%Avg annual filing rate
0.3%Peak year (2013)
0.31%Latest filed (2014)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Van Buren Historic District
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
12.0%Housing insecurity
8.3%Utility shutoff threat
15.4%Food insecurity
8.6%SNAP enrollment
10.2%No health insurance
38.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Van Buren Historic District
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Van Buren Historic District?
Van Buren Historic District scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Van Buren Historic District compare to Van Buren overall?
Van Buren Historic District scores 0.7 points lower than Van Buren overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $770 vs $847.
Q3
What is the average rent in Van Buren Historic District?
Average gross rent in Van Buren eviction risk Historic District is $770/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Van Buren Historic District residents are renters?
24% of Van Buren Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Van Buren). The neighborhood has 8,757 residents.
Q5
Is Van Buren Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?
Van Buren Historic District sits in the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Van Buren Historic District have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Van Buren Historic District is census tract 05033020302 (score 3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Van Buren Historic District for landlords?
Van Buren eviction risk Historic District carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Van Buren as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Van Buren Historic District?
Van Buren Historic District has 8,543 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73.4%), Hispanic / Latino (16.6%), Other / Multiracial (6.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
