Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Van Buren Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 05033020302 · Crawford County, AR · pop 4,574 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 05033020302 covers part of the Van Buren Historic District area of Van Buren, AR, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,574. Against Crawford County at 38.3%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,646
Renter share18.8%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$64,346
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
29
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Van Buren and the region
Centroid at 35.4441, -94.3683 · click any tract to drill in
Why Van Buren Historic District scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Van Buren
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$672 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Van Buren
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Van Buren
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Van Buren
6.4
How Van Buren Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Van Buren Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.6%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.1%Food insecurity
- 8.5%SNAP enrollment
- 8.0%Transit barriers
- 10.1%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 38.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Van Buren Historic District
Pulling hardest the other way is court filing pressure at 0.2/10. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. At $672 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Van Buren commands.
It sits 0.6 points below the Crawford County average of 3.6. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 5.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $64,346, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 05033020302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05033020302?
Census tract 05033020302 in the Van Buren Historic District neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05033020302?
Median gross rent is $672/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05033020302?
10.1% of residents in tract 05033020302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,574.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05033020302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 55th, minority 41th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 05033020302 considered part of Van Buren Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05033020302 fall within Van Buren Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 05033020302 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 05033020302 compare to Van Buren overall?
Tract 05033020302 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Van Buren at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Van Buren eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Van Buren
Top eight tracts in Van Buren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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