Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Van Buren Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 05033020302 · Crawford County, AR · pop 4,574 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 05033020302 runs through the Van Buren Historic District area of Van Buren. With 4,574 residents, it scores 3.7/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #77,379 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 61% of renter households, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $672 a month against an average household income of $64,346 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. Renters make up 19% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,646
Renter share18.8%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$64,346
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Van Buren and the region
Centroid at 35.4441, -94.3683 · click any tract to drill in
Why Van Buren Historic District scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Van Buren
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$672 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Van Buren
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Van Buren
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Van Buren
6.4
How Van Buren Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Van Buren Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.6%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.1%Food insecurity
- 8.5%SNAP enrollment
- 8.0%Transit barriers
- 10.1%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 38.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Van Buren Historic District
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Van Buren eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Crawford County average of 3.5 and below the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 05033020302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05033020302?
Census tract 05033020302 in the Van Buren Historic District neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05033020302?
Median gross rent is $672/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05033020302?
10.1% of residents in tract 05033020302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,574.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05033020302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 55th, minority 41th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 05033020302 considered part of Van Buren Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05033020302 fall within Van Buren Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 05033020302 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 05033020302 compare to Van Buren overall?
Tract 05033020302 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Van Buren at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Van Buren eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Van Buren
Top eight tracts in Van Buren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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