College Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate

What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 9.4/10. The poverty rate is 39%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

22.8% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. 24% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. SNAP participation is 31.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.8/10.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Ozan and Country Hills. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

Average gross rent runs $866, close to the Texarkana average. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $33,987.

With little internal variation, 5.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.