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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

College Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Texarkana

Tract 05091020400 · Miller County, AR · pop 3,090 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

05091020400 is a census tract in the College Hill area of Texarkana, AR. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 38% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units850
Renter share67.6%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate42.1%
Median income$33,942

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In College Hill
Very High
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 13 tracts In Texarkana
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 14 tracts In Miller County
Very High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Texarkana and the region

Centroid at 33.4078, -94.0358 · click any tract to drill in

Why College Hill scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Texarkana
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.7
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
42.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$804 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Texarkana
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Texarkana
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Texarkana
7.7

How College Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
College Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0204004.0Texarkanaparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within College Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in College Hill

The poverty rate is 42%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.

68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 24.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Housing insecurity runs 29.2% against 14.2% nationally.

It sits 1.3 points above the Miller County average of 4.1. At $804 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Texarkana commands. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the AR average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 05091020400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05091020400?

Census tract 05091020400 in the College Hill neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05091020400?

Median gross rent is $804/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05091020400?

42.1% of residents in tract 05091020400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,090.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05091020400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 73th, minority 62th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 05091020400 considered part of College Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05091020400 fall within College Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 05091020400 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 05091020400 compare to Texarkana overall?

Tract 05091020400 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Texarkana at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Texarkana eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Texarkana

Top eight tracts in Texarkana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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