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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

West Main Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower , Blytheville

Tract 05093010601 · Mississippi County, AR · pop 4,373 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 05093010601 covers part of the West Main Street Historic District area of Blytheville, AR, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,373 residents. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 22% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,780
Renter share34.4%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate19.6%
Median income$76,406

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In West Main Street Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Blytheville
Moderate
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 14 tracts In Mississippi County
Moderate
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#356 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Blytheville and the region

Centroid at 35.9425, -89.9161 · click any tract to drill in

Why West Main Street Historic District scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Blytheville
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.9
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.6% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$790 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Blytheville
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Blytheville
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Blytheville
7.6

How West Main Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
West Main Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.7This tracttract 0106014.2Blythevilleparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in West Main Street Historic District

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10.

The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Cost burden runs 36% here against 40.3% across Mississippi County.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 5.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $76,406, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Mississippi County average of 4.2 closely.

Average gross rent is $790, close to the Blytheville average. 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 05093010601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05093010601?

Census tract 05093010601 in the West Main Street Historic District neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05093010601?

Median gross rent is $790/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05093010601?

19.6% of residents in tract 05093010601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,373.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05093010601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 62th, minority 63th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 05093010601 considered part of West Main Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05093010601 fall within West Main Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 05093010601 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 05093010601 compare to Blytheville overall?

Tract 05093010601 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Blytheville at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Blytheville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Blytheville

Top eight tracts in Blytheville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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