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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Blytheville Commercial Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 05093010100 · Mississippi County, AR · pop 1,559 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

05093010100 is a census tract in the Blytheville Commercial Historic District area of Blytheville, AR. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 43%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 19% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units576
Renter share63.4%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate52.0%
Median income$27,174

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Blytheville Commercial Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Blytheville
Very High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 14 tracts In Mississippi County
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Blytheville and the region

Centroid at 35.9243, -89.9084 · click any tract to drill in

Why Blytheville Commercial Historic District scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Blytheville
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.9
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
52.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$950 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Blytheville
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Blytheville
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Blytheville
7.6

How Blytheville Commercial Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Blytheville Commercial Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 0101004.2Blythevilleparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 0.23%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.2%Peak (2001)
  • 1Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 05093010100
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Blytheville Commercial Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Blytheville Commercial Historic District

70% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Mississippi County average of 40.3%. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Food insecurity runs 49.2% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 52%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Disability prevalence runs 54.0% against 31.5% nationally.

Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income of $27,174, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Mississippi County average of 4.2. Court records carry 2 eviction filings across 2 observed years.

The voucher gap is 12.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $950 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of Blytheville commands.

Filings peaked in 2001 at 0.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 0.2% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 05093010100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05093010100?

Census tract 05093010100 in the Blytheville Commercial Historic District neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05093010100?

Median gross rent is $950/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05093010100?

52.0% of residents in tract 05093010100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,559.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05093010100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 84th, minority 87th, housing 75th.
Q5

Is tract 05093010100 considered part of Blytheville Commercial Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05093010100 fall within Blytheville Commercial Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 05093010100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 05093010100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.23% of renter households, peaking at 0.2% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 05093010100 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 30.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 05093010100 compare to Blytheville overall?

Tract 05093010100 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Blytheville at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Blytheville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Blytheville

Top eight tracts in Blytheville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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