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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally

South Shore Eviction Risk: Elevated , Alameda

Tract 06001428500 · Alameda, CA · pop 3,302 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 6.9/10, tract 06001428500 in the South Shore area of Alameda, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,302 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 43% Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units1,444
Renter share70.2%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$143,529

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In South Shore
Very Low
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 16 tracts In Alameda
Low
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#228 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Low
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#5,398 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Alameda and the region

Centroid at 37.7601, -122.2594 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Shore scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Alameda
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,677 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alameda
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alameda
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alameda
4.5

How South Shore compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Shore risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.96.9This tracttract 428500Alameda: 7.87.8Alamedaparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Shore. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Shore

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.3/10. 70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Alameda County average of 45.5%. Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.

Average gross rent is $2,677, 8% above the Alameda average. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Oakland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.6/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $143,529.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001428500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001428500?

Census tract 06001428500 in the South Shore neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001428500?

Median gross rent is $2,677/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001428500?

5.3% of residents in tract 06001428500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,302.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001428500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 65th, minority 72th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 06001428500 considered part of South Shore?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001428500 fall within South Shore (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001428500 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001428500 compare to Alameda overall?

Tract 06001428500 scores 6.9/10, lower than the parent city of Alameda at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alameda; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06001428500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alameda

Top eight tracts in Alameda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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