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Neighborhood · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally

South Shore Eviction Risk: High , Alameda

Tract 06001428400 · Alameda, CA · pop 4,756 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 06001428400 sits in the South Shore area of Alameda, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.4/10. Population here is 4,756. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

Risk score
8.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 32% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,816
Renter share63.2%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate13.7%
Median income$107,083

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In South Shore
Very High
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 16 tracts In Alameda
Very High
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#161 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#2,744 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Alameda and the region

Centroid at 37.7564, -122.2559 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Shore scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Alameda
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.7% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$2,382 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alameda
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alameda
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alameda
4.5

How South Shore compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Shore risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.48.4This tracttract 428400Alameda: 7.87.8Alamedaparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Shore. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Shore

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.1/10.

Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Oakland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 93rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 7.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. roughly one in two of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $2,382, close to the Alameda average.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $107,083.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001428400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001428400?

Census tract 06001428400 in the South Shore neighborhood scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001428400?

Median gross rent is $2,382/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001428400?

13.7% of residents in tract 06001428400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,756.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001428400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 56th, minority 75th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 06001428400 considered part of South Shore?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001428400 fall within South Shore (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001428400 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001428400 compare to Alameda overall?

Tract 06001428400 scores 8.4/10, higher than the parent city of Alameda at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alameda; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06001428400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alameda

Top eight tracts in Alameda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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