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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Mulford Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Leandro

Tract 06001432601 · Alameda, CA · pop 4,092 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

How risky is the Mulford neighborhood of San Leandro for landlords? Census tract 06001432601 scores 5.9/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 73% of US census tracts.

About 58% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,211 a month while the average household earns $89,630 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 27% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,843
Renter share63.9%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate11.9%
Median income$89,630

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Mulford
Very High
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 19 tracts In San Leandro
Elevated
Within county
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#185 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Moderate
Within state
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#5,204 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Leandro and the region

Centroid at 37.7215, -122.1577 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mulford scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Leandro
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.9% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$2,211 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Leandro
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Leandro
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Leandro
6.0

How Mulford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mulford risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 432601San Leandro: 8.28.2San Leandroparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mulford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mulford

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Leandro, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Alameda County average of 5.8 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Asian and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001432601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001432601?

Census tract 06001432601 in the Mulford neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001432601?

Median gross rent is $2,211/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001432601?

11.9% of residents in tract 06001432601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,092.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001432601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 57th, minority 82th, housing 95th.
Q5

Is tract 06001432601 considered part of Mulford?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001432601 fall within Mulford (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001432601 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001432601 compare to San Leandro overall?

Tract 06001432601 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of San Leandro at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Leandro; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06001432601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 65% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Leandro

Top eight tracts in San Leandro ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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