Kelly Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate

The voucher gap is 41.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 9.1/10. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $65,263, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

It sits 1.9 points below the Butte County average of 6.6. Running cool, economic stress reads 2/10. The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Average gross rent is $2,068, 17% below the Kelly Ridge average. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.7/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 11 filings here across 1 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2014, when 2.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 3.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.