San Pablo Eviction Risk: High

Against the Contra Costa County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.2 points. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.2/10.

69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.9/10. SNAP participation runs 27.5% against 15.2% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 26.3% against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,657, 18% below the San Pablo average. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.7/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $64,020.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.