Census Tract · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029000911 · Kern, CA · pop 2,487

Census tract 06029000911 covers part of Bakersfield, CA, and scores 6.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,487 residents. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

6.3

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 29% Owners 25%

Tract context

Occupied units981

Renter share74.5%

SVI overall0.79

Poverty rate11.8%

Median income$42,386

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3998, -118.9219 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

11.8% poverty · this tract

2.9

Supply constraint

$1,009 rent vs county FMR

2.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

94%Socioeconomic
73%Household composition
94%Racial/ethnic minority
27%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

25.9%Housing insecurity
15.0%Utility-shutoff threat
32.9%Food insecurity
33.9%SNAP enrollment
17.4%Transit barriers
19.0%No health insurance
22.6%Frequent mental distress
41.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

Cost burden runs 62% here against 49.2% across Kern County. SNAP participation runs 33.9% against 15.2% nationally.

Average gross rent is $1,009, 31% below the Bakersfield average. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Food insecurity runs 32.9% against 17.8% nationally.

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 2.3/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.9/10. On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.1/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029000911

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029000911?

Census tract 06029000911 in Bakersfield scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029000911?

Median gross rent is $1,009/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029000911?

11.8% of residents in tract 06029000911 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,487.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029000911?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 73th, minority 94th, housing 27th.

What share of households in tract 06029000911 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029000911 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029000911 scores 6.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Bakersfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.