Census Tract · Ranked #1,107 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06029003002 · Kern, CA · pop 3,575 · 26% of tract blocks fall in Bakersfield

The Elevated-tier score of 6.5/10 for census tract 06029003002 reflects conditions in Bakersfield, California. That is riskier than about 88% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 59% of renter households, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,089 monthly, set against $40,985 in average yearly household income, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 56% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

8.5

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 23% Owners 44%

Tract context

Occupied units870

Renter share56.3%

SVI overall0.91

Poverty rate38.1%

Median income$40,985

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3358, -119.0121 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 8.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

38.1% poverty · this tract

9.5

Supply constraint

$1,089 rent vs county FMR

2.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

89%Socioeconomic
64%Household composition
96%Racial/ethnic minority
89%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

42.8%Housing insecurity
27.5%Utility-shutoff threat
58.3%Food insecurity
62.1%SNAP enrollment
30.6%Transit barriers
34.9%No health insurance
25.9%Frequent mental distress
54.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Kern County average of 6.1 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 42.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 27.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029003002

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003002?

Census tract 06029003002 in Bakersfield scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029003002?

Median gross rent is $1,089/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003002?

38.1% of residents in tract 06029003002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,575.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 64th, minority 96th, housing 89th.

What share of households in tract 06029003002 struggle to pay rent?

About 42.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029003002 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029003002 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Bakersfield at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.