Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
Shafter Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06029003900 · Kern, CA · pop 3,388 · 49% of tract blocks fall in Shafter
For landlords sizing up Shafter, census tract 06029003900 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.3/10. On the national scale it ranks #13,608 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $110,388 a year. Renters make up 10% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units880
Renter share10.5%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$110,388
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
55
th percentile
Moderate
National
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shafter and the region
Centroid at 35.5027, -119.1782 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shafter scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shafter
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shafter
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shafter
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shafter
7.3
How Shafter compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.9%Housing insecurity
- 9.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.8%Food insecurity
- 18.7%SNAP enrollment
- 12.0%Transit barriers
- 15.7%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 31.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shafter
The score leans hardest on housing court bias at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shafter, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kern County average of 6.1 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 19.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 06029003900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003900?
Census tract 06029003900 in Shafter scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003900?
12.9% of residents in tract 06029003900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,388.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 25th, minority 81th, housing 65th.
Q4
What share of households in tract 06029003900 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5
How does tract 06029003900 compare to Shafter overall?
Tract 06029003900 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Shafter at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shafter; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shafter
Top eight tracts in Shafter ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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