Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Shafter Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06029003900 · Kern, CA · pop 3,388 · 49% of tract blocks fall in Shafter
Census tract 06029003900 covers part of Shafter, CA, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,388. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units880
Renter share10.5%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$110,388
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
5
th percentile
Very Low
National
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shafter and the region
Centroid at 35.5027, -119.1782 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shafter scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shafter
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shafter
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shafter
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shafter
7.3
How Shafter compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.9%Housing insecurity
- 9.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.8%Food insecurity
- 18.7%SNAP enrollment
- 12.0%Transit barriers
- 15.7%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 31.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shafter
It sits 1.4 points below the Kern County average of 6.4. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 7.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7.3/10.
Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 6.9/10. Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.5 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 48% of renters.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06029003900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003900?
Census tract 06029003900 in Shafter scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003900?
12.9% of residents in tract 06029003900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,388.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 25th, minority 81th, housing 65th.
Q4
What share of households in tract 06029003900 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5
How does tract 06029003900 compare to Shafter overall?
Tract 06029003900 scores 5/10, lower than the parent city of Shafter at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shafter; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shafter
Top eight tracts in Shafter ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related