North Shafter Eviction Risk: Elevated

Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is economic stress at 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 34%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 24.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. Against the Kern County average of 6.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

At $973 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Shafter commands. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.3/10.

On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. 52% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $36,969. 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.