Neighborhood · Ranked #434 of 84,120 nationally

Van Nuys Eviction Risk: High , Los Angeles

Tract 06037128302 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 4,790 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

In the Van Nuys neighborhood of Los Angeles, census tract 06037128302 scores 7.5/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 99% of US census tracts.

65% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,680 a month against an average household income of $57,700 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. Renters make up 78% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 27% Owners 22%

Tract context

Occupied units1,450

Renter share77.9%

SVI overall0.96

Poverty rate30.6%

Median income$57,700

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Los Angeles and the region

Centroid at 34.1839, -118.4605 · click any tract to drill in

Why Van Nuys scores 9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.2

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

30.6% poverty · this tract

7.7

Supply constraint

$1,680 rent vs county FMR

1.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Los Angeles

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.0

How Van Nuys compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

99%Socioeconomic
56%Household composition
86%Racial/ethnic minority
94%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
7%Grade B
11%Grade C
26%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Van Nuys. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

31.8%Housing insecurity
16.0%Utility-shutoff threat
40.6%Food insecurity
40.4%SNAP enrollment
19.7%Transit barriers
22.4%No health insurance
21.1%Frequent mental distress
41.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Van Nuys

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Los Angeles eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Los Angeles County average of 6.5 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 26% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037128302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037128302?

Census tract 06037128302 in the Van Nuys neighborhood scores 9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06037128302?

Median gross rent is $1,680/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037128302?

30.6% of residents in tract 06037128302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,790.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037128302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 56th, minority 86th, housing 94th.

Is tract 06037128302 considered part of Van Nuys?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037128302 fall within Van Nuys (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06037128302 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06037128302 compare to Los Angeles overall?

Tract 06037128302 scores 9/10, lower than the parent city of Los Angeles at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Los Angeles eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06037128302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 26% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Los Angeles

Top eight tracts in Los Angeles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.