Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Van Nuys Eviction Risk: High , Los Angeles

Tract 06037128302 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 4,790 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 9.9/10, tract 06037128302 in the Van Nuys area of Los Angeles, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,790 residents. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 27% Owners 22%

Tract context

Occupied units1,450

Renter share77.9%

SVI overall0.96

Poverty rate30.6%

Median income$57,700

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Los Angeles and the region

Centroid at 34.1839, -118.4605 · click any tract to drill in

Why Van Nuys scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.2

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

30.6% poverty · this tract

7.7

Supply constraint

$1,680 rent vs county FMR

1.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Los Angeles

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.0

How Van Nuys compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

99%Socioeconomic
56%Household composition
86%Racial/ethnic minority
94%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
7%Grade B
11%Grade C
26%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Van Nuys. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

31.8%Housing insecurity
16.0%Utility-shutoff threat
40.6%Food insecurity
40.4%SNAP enrollment
19.7%Transit barriers
22.4%No health insurance
21.1%Frequent mental distress
41.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Van Nuys

SNAP participation runs 40.4% against 15.2% nationally. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Running hot, local political climate reads 9.5/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10.

This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Housing insecurity runs 31.8% against 14.2% nationally.

Against Los Angeles County at 53.8%, 65% of renters here are cost-burdened. Set annual rent against average income of $57,700 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

It sits 1.5 points above the Los Angeles County average of 8.4. Average gross rent is $1,680, 13% below the Los Angeles average.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Los Angeles. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037128302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037128302?

Census tract 06037128302 in the Van Nuys neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06037128302?

Median gross rent is $1,680/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037128302?

30.6% of residents in tract 06037128302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,790.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037128302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 56th, minority 86th, housing 94th.

Is tract 06037128302 considered part of Van Nuys?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037128302 fall within Van Nuys (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06037128302 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06037128302 compare to Los Angeles overall?

Tract 06037128302 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Los Angeles at 9.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Los Angeles eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06037128302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 26% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Los Angeles

Top eight tracts in Los Angeles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.