Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Van Nuys Eviction Risk: High , Los Angeles

Tract 06037127920 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 4,622 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

06037127920 is a census tract in the Van Nuys area of Los Angeles, CA. It scores 9.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,622. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 22% Owners 42%

Tract context

Occupied units1,511

Renter share58.1%

SVI overall0.81

Poverty rate22.2%

Median income$71,042

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Los Angeles and the region

Centroid at 34.1976, -118.4356 · click any tract to drill in

Why Van Nuys scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.2

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

22.2% poverty · this tract

5.5

Supply constraint

$1,863 rent vs county FMR

2.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Los Angeles

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.0

How Van Nuys compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

89%Socioeconomic
40%Household composition
63%Racial/ethnic minority
80%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
1%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Van Nuys. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.9%Housing insecurity
8.6%Utility-shutoff threat
22.3%Food insecurity
20.3%SNAP enrollment
11.1%Transit barriers
12.7%No health insurance
17.8%Frequent mental distress
32.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Van Nuys

The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 9.5/10. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10.

It sits 1.5 points above the Los Angeles County average of 8.4. Against Los Angeles County at 53.8%, 62% of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Los Angeles. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.3/10.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,863, close to the Los Angeles average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037127920

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037127920?

Census tract 06037127920 in the Van Nuys neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06037127920?

Median gross rent is $1,863/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037127920?

22.2% of residents in tract 06037127920 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,622.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037127920?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 40th, minority 63th, housing 80th.

Is tract 06037127920 considered part of Van Nuys?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037127920 fall within Van Nuys (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06037127920 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06037127920 compare to Los Angeles overall?

Tract 06037127920 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Los Angeles at 9.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Los Angeles eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06037127920 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Los Angeles

Top eight tracts in Los Angeles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.