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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Watts Eviction Risk: High , Los Angeles

Tract 06037240902 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 3,658 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 9.9/10, tract 06037240902 in the Watts area of Los Angeles, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 23% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units757
Renter share62.2%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate34.6%
Median income$44,107

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 25 tracts In Watts
Moderate
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#64 of 1,117 tracts In Los Angeles
Very High
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#543 of 2,495 tracts In Los Angeles
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Los Angeles and the region

Centroid at 33.9352, -118.2638 · click any tract to drill in

Why Watts scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Los Angeles
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
34.6% poverty · this tract
8.7
Supply constraint
$1,438 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Los Angeles
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Los Angeles
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Los Angeles
9.0

How Watts compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Watts risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.99.9This tracttract 240902Los Angeles: 9.89.8Los Angelesparent cityCounty: 8.48.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Watts. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Watts

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Housing insecurity runs 39.1% against 14.2% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 9.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $44,107, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against Los Angeles County at 53.8%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened.

At $1,438 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of Los Angeles commands. It sits 1.5 points above the Los Angeles County average of 8.4.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.8/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037240902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037240902?

Census tract 06037240902 in the Watts neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06037240902?

Median gross rent is $1,438/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037240902?

34.6% of residents in tract 06037240902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,658.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037240902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 92th, minority 99th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 06037240902 considered part of Watts?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037240902 fall within Watts (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06037240902 struggle to pay rent?

About 39.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06037240902 compare to Los Angeles overall?

Tract 06037240902 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Los Angeles at 9.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Los Angeles eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06037240902 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Los Angeles

Top eight tracts in Los Angeles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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