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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Watts Eviction Risk: High , Los Angeles

Tract 06037242100 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 2,680 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 9.9/10, tract 06037242100 in the Watts area of Los Angeles, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,680. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 55% Owners 3%
Tract context
Occupied units709
Renter share96.8%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate42.4%
Median income$29,935

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 25 tracts In Watts
Low
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#597 of 1,117 tracts In Los Angeles
Moderate
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#553 of 2,495 tracts In Los Angeles
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Los Angeles and the region

Centroid at 33.9456, -118.2324 · click any tract to drill in

Why Watts scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Los Angeles
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
42.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,056 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Los Angeles
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Los Angeles
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Los Angeles
9.0

How Watts compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Watts risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.99.9This tracttract 242100Los Angeles: 9.89.8Los Angelesparent cityCounty: 8.48.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Watts. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Watts

Average gross rent is $1,056, 45% below the Los Angeles average. Food insecurity runs 63.4% against 17.8% nationally.

On the high side, economic stress reads 10/10. 97% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 42%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Disability prevalence runs 52.7% against 31.5% nationally. Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income of $29,935, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running hot, local political climate reads 9.5/10.

Cost burden runs 43% here against 53.8% across Los Angeles County. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

It sits 1.5 points above the Los Angeles County average of 8.4. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Los Angeles. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.8/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037242100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037242100?

Census tract 06037242100 in the Watts neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06037242100?

Median gross rent is $1,056/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037242100?

42.4% of residents in tract 06037242100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,680.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037242100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 97th, minority 100th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 06037242100 considered part of Watts?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037242100 fall within Watts (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06037242100 struggle to pay rent?

About 48.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 29.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06037242100 compare to Los Angeles overall?

Tract 06037242100 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Los Angeles at 9.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Los Angeles eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06037242100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 29% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Los Angeles

Top eight tracts in Los Angeles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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