Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Watts Eviction Risk: High , Los Angeles

Tract 06037242202 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 2,966 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

06037242202 is a census tract in the Watts area of Los Angeles, CA. It scores 9.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,966. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 25% Owners 36%

Tract context

Occupied units777

Renter share64.6%

SVI overall0.99

Poverty rate27.7%

Median income$44,355

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Los Angeles and the region

Centroid at 33.9466, -118.2404 · click any tract to drill in

Why Watts scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.2

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

27.7% poverty · this tract

6.9

Supply constraint

$1,147 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Los Angeles

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.0

How Watts compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

97%Socioeconomic
96%Household composition
99%Racial/ethnic minority
90%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
54%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Watts. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

36.7%Housing insecurity
18.6%Utility-shutoff threat
45.7%Food insecurity
45.9%SNAP enrollment
22.1%Transit barriers
22.3%No health insurance
22.7%Frequent mental distress
43.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Watts

Food insecurity runs 45.7% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 45.9% against 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,147, 41% below the Los Angeles average.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 9.5/10. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10. The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

It sits 1.5 points above the Los Angeles County average of 8.4. Cost burden runs 61% here against 53.8% across Los Angeles County.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Los Angeles. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.9/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037242202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037242202?

Census tract 06037242202 in the Watts neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06037242202?

Median gross rent is $1,147/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037242202?

27.7% of residents in tract 06037242202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,966.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037242202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 96th, minority 99th, housing 90th.

Is tract 06037242202 considered part of Watts?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037242202 fall within Watts (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06037242202 struggle to pay rent?

About 36.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06037242202 compare to Los Angeles overall?

Tract 06037242202 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Los Angeles at 9.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Los Angeles eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06037242202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 54% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Los Angeles

Top eight tracts in Los Angeles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.