Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #4,396 of 84,120 nationally
Le Grand Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06047001902 · Merced, CA · pop 2,317 · 26% of tract blocks fall in Le Grand
In Le Grand, census tract 06047001902 scores 5.5/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 39% of renter households, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $895 monthly, set against $56,875 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units680
Renter share37.6%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate17.0%
Median income$56,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
78
th percentile
High
National
95
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Le Grand and the region
Centroid at 37.2236, -120.2247 · click any tract to drill in
Why Le Grand scores 7.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Le Grand
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
17.0% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$895 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Le Grand
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Le Grand
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Le Grand
5.5
How Le Grand compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.9%Housing insecurity
- 14.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.3%Food insecurity
- 32.4%SNAP enrollment
- 16.4%Transit barriers
- 21.6%No health insurance
- 19.6%Frequent mental distress
- 41.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Le Grand
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Le Grand, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Merced County average of 6.0 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 25.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06047001902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06047001902?
Census tract 06047001902 in Le Grand scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06047001902?
Median gross rent is $895/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06047001902?
17.0% of residents in tract 06047001902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,317.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06047001902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 83th, minority 83th, housing 91th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06047001902 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06047001902 compare to Le Grand overall?
Tract 06047001902 scores 7.1/10, lower than the parent city of Le Grand at 8.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Le Grand; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related