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Census Tract · Ranked #4,396 of 84,120 nationally

Winton Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06047000504 · Merced, CA · pop 6,606 · 76% of tract blocks fall in Winton

Winton in Merced County is where census tract 06047000504 sits, home to 6,606 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is $1/10. That is riskier than about 76% of US census tracts.

About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $998 a month against an average household income of $52,213 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 29% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,956
Renter share53.5%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate16.7%
Median income$52,213

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Winton
Very High
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 63 tracts In Merced
Elevated
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#1,980 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
National
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#4,396 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winton and the region

Centroid at 37.3941, -120.6112 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winton scores 7.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winton
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
16.7% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$998 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winton
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winton
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winton
6.4

How Winton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.17.1This tracttract 000504Winton: 8.38.3Wintonparent cityCounty: 6.96.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winton

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winton, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Merced County average of 6.0 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 29.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06047000504

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06047000504?

Census tract 06047000504 in Winton scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06047000504?

Median gross rent is $998/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06047000504?

16.7% of residents in tract 06047000504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,606.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06047000504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 93th, minority 85th, housing 48th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06047000504 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06047000504 compare to Winton overall?

Tract 06047000504 scores 7.1/10, lower than the parent city of Winton at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winton

Top eight tracts in Winton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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