Census Tract · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06061021403 · Placer, CA · pop 5,985

Census tract 06061021403 covers part of Lincoln, CA, and scores 7.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

7.4

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 20% Owners 49%

Tract context

Occupied units2,135

Renter share50.7%

SVI overall0.92

Poverty rate26.9%

Median income$59,665

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Centroid at 38.8903, -121.3030 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln scores 7.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lincoln

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.7

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

26.9% poverty · this tract

6.7

Supply constraint

$1,437 rent vs county FMR

1.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lincoln

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lincoln

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lincoln

6.3

How Lincoln compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

83%Socioeconomic
95%Household composition
68%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.8%Housing insecurity
11.7%Utility-shutoff threat
26.4%Food insecurity
26.3%SNAP enrollment
13.6%Transit barriers
15.0%No health insurance
20.6%Frequent mental distress
37.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.5/10. At $1,437 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of Lincoln commands. Cost burden runs 60% here against 50.5% across Placer County.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.2/10. SNAP participation runs 26.3% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 1.2 points above the Placer County average of 6.2.

Food insecurity runs 26.4% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 9.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06061021403

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06061021403?

Census tract 06061021403 in Lincoln scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06061021403?

Median gross rent is $1,437/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06061021403?

26.9% of residents in tract 06061021403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,985.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06061021403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 95th, minority 68th, housing 87th.

What share of households in tract 06061021403 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06061021403 compare to Lincoln overall?

Tract 06061021403 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln

Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.